TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INOX Divisionof INOX Division, against All authority
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked INOX Division75c561.16$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2934559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked against All authority25c528.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.187,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed against All authority29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11649935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked INOX Division71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed INOX Division73c353.05$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.945465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed against All authority26c266.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6323732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed INOX Division72c190.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.332,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked against All authority28c124.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed against All authority30c94.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2828052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked against All authority28c70.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7331845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed INOX Division75c26.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6621052.4%110 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed INOX Division73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked INOX Division76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.644563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.