Tennis · resolved market
Metepec: Gijs Brouwer vs Sebastian Gima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x135d00405e040e4e1987b4d55a5697dff8dae84d34a69c8c5409cd5151d4cc71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brouwerof Brouwer, Gima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gima | 1c | 3,827$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brouwer | 75c | 1,866$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gima | 27c | 1,500$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gima | 27c | 463$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brouwer | 72c | 216.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Brouwer | 68c | 193.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Gima | 26c | 165.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Brouwer | 64c | 136.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Gima | 26c | 133.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Gima | 28c | 119.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Gima | 32c | 118.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gima | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Gima | 33c | 90.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gima | 35c | 81.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Brouwer | 63c | 68.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Gima | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Gima | 27c | 36.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Brouwer | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Brouwer | 66c | 28.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Brouwer | 79c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Brouwer | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Brouwer | 72c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Metepec: Gijs Brouwer vs Sebastian Gimathis page
- Brouwer vs. Gima: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Brouwer vs. Gima: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Brouwer vs. Gima: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Brouwer vs GimaBrouwer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.