Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Karmine Corp vs. Team Vitality
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13637881612470953ba4510b05c3dd7863c2cfd9a2d5598a7be1bacbf5a635e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Karmine Corp, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Team Vitality | 16c | 19,948$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,811.49 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Team Vitality | 18c | 15,694$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,869.12 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Vitality | 18c | 9,406$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.55 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Team Vitality | 22c | 7,713$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,988.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Team Vitality | 9c | 7,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.99 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 3,940$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.51 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Team Vitality | 20c | 3,860$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.4 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Team Vitality | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Vitality | 16c | 2,741$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.8 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Team Vitality | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.99 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Team Vitality | 14c | 2,129$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 2,123$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.04 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Vitality | 17c | 1,964$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.69 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Karmine Corp | 8c | 1,958$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Team Vitality | 12c | 1,878$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.02 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Vitality | 17c | 1,784$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.82 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Vitality | 17c | 1,303$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.36 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 1,000$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed Team Vitality | 21c | 955$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.32 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Team Vitality | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Vitality | 17c | 800$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.34 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Vitality | 16c | 775.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.27 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…6546backed Team Vitality | 17c | 691.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Team Vitality | 13c | 682.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.88 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 628.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 600$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.95 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Vitality | 15c | 504$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Vitality | 20c | 384.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.16 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Team Vitality | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Team Vitality | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 267$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Team Vitality | 23c | 190.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 188.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Team Vitality | 20c | 171.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Team Vitality | 12c | 152.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Vitality | 32c | 123.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…68c9backed Team Vitality | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team Vitality | 20c | 112.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Team Vitality | 21c | 111$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Team Vitality | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Team Vitality | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Team Vitality | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed Team Vitality | 22c | 63.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Team Vitality | 50c | 59.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Team Vitality | 50c | 43.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1731…5372backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.