La Liga · resolved market
Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x138ac71766c25e6114785bef5d6683ec827debf91bb089689d72450a694995bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60d4…cd9cbacked Yes | 11c | 40,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…0b16backed Yes | 15c | 35,242$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…2763backed Yes | 12c | 30,295$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf538…e3e6backed Yes | 14c | 26,923$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd477…d525backed Yes | 14c | 9,643$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…76ebbacked Yes | 14c | 8,026$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,347$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.16 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,028$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Yes | 11c | 723.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 12c | 690.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc3…e1c6backed Yes | 11c | 472.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…9f76backed Yes | 11c | 327.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…af57backed Yes | 12c | 265$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…96fabacked Yes | 11c | 263.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…baafbacked Yes | 11c | 254.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 11c | 251.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…c6ccbacked Yes | 11c | 245.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?Yes won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
- Exact Score: Sevilla FC 3 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.