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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Isurusof R2 Esports Club, Isurus
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,345 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Isurus67c2,664$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.325,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed R2 Esports Club33c1,339$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.3556732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked R2 Esports Club33c600$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed R2 Esports Club38c458$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.345,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Isurus66c262.4$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61,81959%1,074 W · 745 L+105.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked R2 Esports Club33c182.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,10031.7%349 W · 751 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed R2 Esports Club38c141$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1533044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed R2 Esports Club37c120.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510651.9%55 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed R2 Esports Club31c110.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.086,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed R2 Esports Club32c95.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6897230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed R2 Esports Club16c93.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517836.5%65 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed R2 Esports Club32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked R2 Esports Club34c89.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.691648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Isurus66c89.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2217135.1%60 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed R2 Esports Club35c88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8446344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed R2 Esports Club37c79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1316946.7%79 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed R2 Esports Club33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.833451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed R2 Esports Club32c52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.885,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8695…9afabacked R2 Esports Club20c50.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103246.9%15 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked R2 Esports Club37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6549745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked R2 Esports Club37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519344%85 W · 108 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked R2 Esports Club36c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.522931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked R2 Esports Club36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.232351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked R2 Esports Club36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f50…e59ebacked R2 Esports Club33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211758.1%68 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked R2 Esports Club36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.895642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked R2 Esports Club37c27.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.132,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.