TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Islanders, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders71c1,029$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Islanders42c1,000$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.4785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild37c691.74$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.393,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Wild58c644.9$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8613756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Wild50c601.92$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.967459.5%44 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Islanders18c601.76$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Islanders41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2058537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Wild59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9a…062fbacked Wild59c495.58$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.581250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc3…3097backed Islanders42c495.24$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild57c482.77$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.591,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders40c331.44$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5760549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Islanders43c233.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild73c214$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders49c204.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild60c167.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed Islanders29c124$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Wild60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4826059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Islanders42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Islanders42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce80…7043backed Wild56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7441…233cbacked Islanders44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa647…a47ebacked Islanders42c106.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5aab…acedbacked Islanders42c104.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Wild58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4227643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ae…85febacked Wild62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Wild58c95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6517054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x615f…cf7abacked Islanders42c94.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827e…dd09backed Wild60c91.73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c8…6533backed Islanders42c91.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa2…9fe2backed Wild59c87.34$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild59c84.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.171,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23da…a168backed Wild59c83.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6538040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4a…df01backed Wild59c78.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Islanders40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8400…2818backed Islanders42c73.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders19c73.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b44…f8b9backed Islanders42c70.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7b…5cb4backed Wild50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976b…f936backed Islanders50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc490…423cbacked Wild56c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Islanders40c54.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Islanders46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc39…a9abbacked Islanders44c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe230…30c7backed Islanders44c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8de…bcf6backed Wild56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75d2…ee21backed Islanders44c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183c…744cbacked Wild56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x177e…bc77backed Wild50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…b073backed Wild59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc6f…93c8backed Islanders51c41.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…beafbacked Islanders51c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2811…2bbdbacked Wild49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa44…fc80backed Wild59c39.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x229c…c462backed Wild59c39.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0581…3085backed Islanders41c37.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd2…cc60backed Wild59c37.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7461…8668backed Islanders41c37.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfef…4811backed Wild50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x887a…c778backed Islanders50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c1…6b1dbacked Islanders50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f26…e4c8backed Wild50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…f37fbacked Islanders42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4670…ae73backed Islanders41c35.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27f…b6bbbacked Islanders50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c2…9858backed Wild49c34.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b5f…3de7backed Islanders50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2621…77e0backed Wild50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f34…3bd9backed Wild59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafc9…97acbacked Wild59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425b…e6ebbacked Wild59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders40c31.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4878…ba7fbacked Islanders41c30.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06fa…cc75backed Wild56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa536…a2e0backed Islanders44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd125…30e7backed Islanders52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65dd…dc67backed Wild48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ef…1a13backed Wild59c28.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755b…890ebacked Islanders41c27.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4a…8216backed Wild58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf03a…598cbacked Islanders42c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8083…d81cbacked Wild58c26.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6e…626dbacked Islanders42c26.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46a…98bdbacked Wild60c26.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f81…ee67backed Islanders50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x352b…4792backed Islanders41c25.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe107…4d7bbacked Islanders41c25.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5748…c1d8backed Islanders44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e63…ae26backed Islanders51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2552…0e99backed Islanders41c24.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99b6…e431backed Wild59c24.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d16…fbddbacked Wild58c23.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f2…5a8bbacked Wild59c23.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1b…df89backed Wild59c23.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f47…661fbacked Wild49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe21…255bbacked Wild57c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8dc…ce7bbacked Wild58c21.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1f…8cbdbacked Wild59c21.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.