NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1458836faac297db772e4ec33505e4778f7441bee603f8f6127f322436fcd33c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Antonio Spursof San Antonio Spurs, New York Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebae…f7b1backed New York Knicks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Knicks | 0c | 5,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Knicks | 41c | 1,370$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked San Antonio Spurs | 59c | 1,123$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed New York Knicks | 15c | 336.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked New York Knicks | 6c | 221$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…645fbacked New York Knicks | 7c | 217.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked New York Knicks | 22c | 199.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Antonio Spurs | 60c | 193.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked New York Knicks | 5c | 193.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Antonio Spurs | 61c | 185.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Knicks | 8c | 176$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…790fbacked New York Knicks | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed San Antonio Spurs | 78c | 127.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked San Antonio Spurs | 57c | 82.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked New York Knicks | 40c | 68.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Knicks | 39c | 62.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed San Antonio Spurs | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Knicks | 44c | 54.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed New York Knicks | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed San Antonio Spurs | 59c | 21.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.