Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Shuai Zhang vs Ashlyn Krueger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14631efc6b19b43fb4ac21efb23bea279f99f7792586b116c4d9498eddda0b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhangof Zhang, Krueger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Krueger | 32c | 1,830$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Krueger | 45c | 803$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked Krueger | 60c | 797.53$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Krueger | 44c | 678$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.88 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Zhang | 70c | 605.45$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.37 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Zhang | 56c | 602.31$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.31 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zhang | 55c | 582.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.35 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Krueger | 34c | 538.13$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zhang | 51c | 356.13$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Krueger | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zhang | 78c | 260.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Krueger | 17c | 220.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Krueger | 39c | 185.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…967abacked Zhang | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Krueger | 23c | 150.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zhang | 54c | 133.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Krueger | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…9d4dbacked Zhang | 77c | 121.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Krueger | 17c | 118.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Zhang | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Krueger | 25c | 103.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Zhang | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Krueger | 45c | 89.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Krueger | 43c | 80.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Zhang | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Krueger | 20c | 70.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Zhang | 55c | 61.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Krueger | 43c | 56.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Krueger | 50c | 55.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Krueger | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Krueger | 19c | 53.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Krueger | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Zhang | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Krueger | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Krueger | 39c | 35.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Krueger | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Zhang | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Zhang | 53c | 22.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Zhang | 50c | 22.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Zhang | 77c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Zhang | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zhang | 76c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa186…b01fbacked Zhang | 76c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Shuai Zhang vs Ashlyn Kruegerthis page
- Set Handicap: Krueger (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)Zhang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.