Tennis · resolved market
Brazzaville: Aditya Balsekar vs Blaise Bicknell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149165434981a7c055917fd49e950039e21b2bc4424a5aab7d8d055ff2835fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blaise Bicknellof Aditya Balsekar, Blaise Bicknell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aditya Balsekar | 6c | 5,193$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.14 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Aditya Balsekar | 11c | 2,342$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.47 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aditya Balsekar | 11c | 1,560$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aditya Balsekar | 4c | 1,265$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aditya Balsekar | 7c | 654.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aditya Balsekar | 12c | 630$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Aditya Balsekar | 4c | 439.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aditya Balsekar | 11c | 362$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aditya Balsekar | 12c | 349.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Aditya Balsekar | 11c | 349.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked Aditya Balsekar | 4c | 266.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Aditya Balsekar | 10c | 249.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Aditya Balsekar | 12c | 248.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aditya Balsekar | 8c | 220.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Aditya Balsekar | 6c | 209.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Aditya Balsekar | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aditya Balsekar | 7c | 185$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Aditya Balsekar | 12c | 91.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Aditya Balsekar | 12c | 85.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.