CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: Color (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d38491813fa2b759d6092d7f99c924e48533caea64cdf12bd74d22103783b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorof Color, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 51c | 1,244$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.12 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Color | 49c | 610.1$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.74 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Color | 49c | 299.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Color | 48c | 271.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Color | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Color | 49c | 224.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Inner Circle Academy | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 312 | 61.2%191 W · 121 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Inner Circle Academy | 52c | 193.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Color | 42c | 162.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 328 | 40.2%132 W · 196 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Color | 49c | 162.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Color | 49c | 115.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Color | 48c | 78.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Inner Circle Academy | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Inner Circle Academy | 18c | 69.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Inner Circle Academy | 18c | 69.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Color | 79c | 56.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Inner Circle Academy | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Inner Circle Academy | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Inner Circle Academy | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Inner Circle Academy | 52c | 23.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Color | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: Color (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Color vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageColor won
- Counter-Strike: Color vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 WinnerColor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.