NFL · resolved market
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152726f28bb1f7dbea31a6b8fd79c9c4640ad4400b957a59e9b478362e136c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x700f…7b54backed Yes | 5c | 3,900$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 6c | 178.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…bbe3backed No | 78c | 98.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 93.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…f50abacked Yes | 18c | 82.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…99dfbacked No | 50c | 39.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…669dbacked No | 50c | 34.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…5bb4backed No | 50c | 33.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…15e2backed No | 50c | 32.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…e0fabacked No | 50c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…aa04backed No | 50c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb14f…6655backed No | 50c | 28.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…77bdbacked No | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…a5a4backed No | 50c | 28.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…39dabacked No | 51c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…2dfebacked No | 51c | 28.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…3ef9backed No | 51c | 28.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…9375backed No | 51c | 28.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6112…efadbacked No | 51c | 28.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…251ebacked No | 51c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…6782backed No | 50c | 28.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…6a9fbacked No | 51c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…9113backed No | 51c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…e8a9backed No | 51c | 28.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…8be9backed No | 51c | 28.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…76f2backed No | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…0754backed No | 53c | 27.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…43fbbacked No | 53c | 27.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…ad99backed No | 53c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…fcdcbacked No | 53c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…053cbacked No | 53c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…f09fbacked No | 53c | 27.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…72debacked No | 53c | 27.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…4304backed No | 53c | 27.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8626…acc2backed No | 53c | 27.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a71…01d3backed No | 53c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…2df3backed No | 51c | 27.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f452backed No | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…6f34backed No | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa876…ed40backed No | 53c | 27.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…0b41backed No | 53c | 27.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…d716backed No | 53c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…2ff7backed No | 51c | 27.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…0d38backed No | 53c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…4471backed No | 53c | 27.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…7f14backed No | 53c | 27.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…347dbacked No | 53c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…d4c8backed No | 53c | 27.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…3870backed No | 50c | 27.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…59eebacked No | 51c | 27.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…50b4backed No | 51c | 27.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…3768backed No | 51c | 27.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…af51backed No | 51c | 27.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…e0fcbacked No | 51c | 27.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…10c6backed No | 50c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…e9fbbacked No | 51c | 27.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…7bc6backed No | 51c | 27.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…7becbacked No | 50c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…6f37backed No | 50c | 27.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…6d55backed No | 50c | 26.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…bda4backed No | 50c | 26.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…6df7backed No | 50c | 26.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7611…f2a4backed No | 50c | 26.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9b…1e98backed No | 50c | 26.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?Yes won
- Will the Miami Dolphins draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the New York Jets draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.