CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Peak Agency (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15356b6845e2e9ee7282fb457044555d2659d4272a9e357407986bc90e9c40c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Peak Agency
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf321…0315backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 1,716$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d6…e6eabacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 1,528$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Peak Agency | 31c | 843.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.43 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a719backed Yawara Esports | 73c | 672$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Peak Agency | 30c | 646.01$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Peak Agency | 31c | 590$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 487 | 46.6%227 W · 260 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked Peak Agency | 27c | 582$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…035abacked Yawara Esports | 72c | 378.5$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Peak Agency | 28c | 336.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 356 | 44.4%158 W · 198 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Peak Agency | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Peak Agency | 42c | 242$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Peak Agency | 29c | 179$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed Yawara Esports | 60c | 158.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Peak Agency | 32c | 153.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 112.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Peak Agency | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Peak Agency | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Peak Agency | 40c | 78.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 174 | 37.4%65 W · 109 L | -13.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Peak Agency | 37c | 69.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Peak Agency | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Peak Agency | 47c | 25.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 564 | 48.2%272 W · 292 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbe…0406backed Yawara Esports | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 61cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Peak Agency (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Peak Agency vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Peak Agency vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Peak Agency vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.