South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a48d4394fbf30e567f44dc9f35fb93c28e8e4fcfedd91a57b5b6fec245bc9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 53c | 10,011$5,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.69 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 4,264$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 2,460$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.55 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 1,914$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.73 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 825.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 49c | 459.55$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.37 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 55c | 445.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 45c | 421.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 16c | 264.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 51c | 201.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 30c | 157.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 137.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 47c | 120.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked No | 56c | 79.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 79.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 45c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 41c | 71.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 65.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 79c | 39.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed No | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Club León FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?No won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.