Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs REBORN - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15daccd2067975f28f3e49dbd02f5586c6e997d52609e210fd11bf1ac5872ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REBORNof NAVI Junior, REBORN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NAVI Junior | 56c | 20,181$11,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,244.37 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed REBORN | 44c | 14,451$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,092.8 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked REBORN | 45c | 5,540$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.19 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed NAVI Junior | 24c | 1,619$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.64 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed NAVI Junior | 8c | 840.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked REBORN | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked REBORN | 76c | 578.16$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed REBORN | 76c | 578.16$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked REBORN | 76c | 467.28$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed REBORN | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed REBORN | 44c | 217$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed NAVI Junior | 31c | 199.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REBORN | 58c | 195.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REBORN | 61c | 177.81$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed REBORN | 44c | 163.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NAVI Junior | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked REBORN | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked REBORN | 57c | 95.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed REBORN | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd91…b49abacked REBORN | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…f251backed NAVI Junior | 30c | 40.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed NAVI Junior | 47c | 40.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REBORN | 70c | 33.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed NAVI Junior | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked REBORN | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed REBORN | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs REBORN - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs REBORN (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs REBORN won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs REBORN - Map 1 Winner REBORN won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs REBORN - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs REBORN - Map 4 Winner REBORN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.