TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,902 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over29c719.99$209 inLost-$208.840350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over28c651.99$186 inLost-$185.5650247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Under71c610$433 inWon+$176.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under71c527.86$375 inWon+$153.08955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over28c360.19$100 inLost-$99.9360748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under71c155.32$110 inWon+$45.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under71c112.68$80 inWon+$32.681060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Over25c99$25 inLost-$24.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfae…155ebacked Under70c45.32$32 inWon+$13.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over30c40.32$12 inLost-$12.13228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under76c40$30 inWon+$9.63158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Under71c20$14 inWon+$5.87100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under78c13.62$11 inWon+$39553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.