Champions League · resolved market
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd40d7268c453d0880d9743d598aec192488fe7e4854125ceaee3562fff60af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 7,270$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.2 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 43c | 5,349$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.02 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 36c | 3,019$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.76 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 41c | 2,866$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,149$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.54 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 1,795$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.57 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 1,077$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.22 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 100 | 21%21 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 63c | 709.29$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.91 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 37c | 561.39$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 29c | 538.49$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 53c | 413.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +9.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 36c | 378.11$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 368$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…e991backed Over | 44c | 354.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 52c | 283.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 29c | 275.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 241.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 69c | 193.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 29c | 149.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 64c | 146$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 129$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 71c | 120.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 112.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 112.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 58c | 111.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 97.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 78c | 88.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 64c | 86.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 84.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 81.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 214 | 16.8%36 W · 178 L | -38.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 56c | 71.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 29c | 64.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 71c | 60.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 31c | 54.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 56c | 52.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…79ebbacked Under | 61c | 49.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 28c | 40.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 40.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 68c | 39.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 48c | 28.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 62c | 28.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…0f17backed Under | 69c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 71c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5this page
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 1.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-2.5)Sabah FK won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: Sabah FK (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.