TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sabah FKof MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva, Sabah FK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,551 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x800a…0b4dbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva12c7,587$939 inLost-$939.082123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva19c5,240$1,001 inLost-$1,001.261566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+120.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sabah FK80c1,126$901 inWon+$225.2536142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva19c999.33$190 inLost-$189.874420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva7c596.85$40 inLost-$404334.9%15 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva20c384.75$77 inLost-$76.951838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+99.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…735ebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva11c360.33$40 inLost-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Sabah FK80c312$250 inWon+$62.413936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sabah FK80c227.39$182 inWon+$45.4859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva18c197.34$36 inLost-$35.522437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva20c151.25$30 inLost-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva19c135.66$26 inLost-$25.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+64.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva18c71.98$13 inLost-$13.113735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva18c59.99$11 inLost-$10.9538142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva19c55.18$10 inLost-$10.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+132%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f9…2233backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva20c54.95$11 inLost-$10.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva20c50$10 inLost-$101931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.