CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163316d2fe3d2b3c8b0c1fc168ddea8666b17b01cb4771b748a4f28de5af42a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alpha Dominion Nationof FaZe Up Next, Alpha Dominion Nation
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked FaZe Up Next | 1c | 4,345$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 51c | 749.14$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.41 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FaZe Up Next | 10c | 738.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FaZe Up Next | 30c | 550.44$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FaZe Up Next | 20c | 549.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 71c | 410.61$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89af…2c91backed FaZe Up Next | 51c | 390.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked FaZe Up Next | 71c | 359.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.59 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…746ebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 73c | 273.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed FaZe Up Next | 48c | 208.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FaZe Up Next | 24c | 197.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked FaZe Up Next | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed FaZe Up Next | 50c | 147.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…d9dabacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 73c | 133.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked FaZe Up Next | 13c | 130.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked FaZe Up Next | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 61c | 118.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 57c | 111$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 54c | 107.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 58c | 102.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 76c | 96.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 56c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked FaZe Up Next | 38c | 65.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 39c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FaZe Up Next | 27c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked FaZe Up Next | 48c | 52.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed FaZe Up Next | 58c | 51.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed FaZe Up Next | 58c | 34.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…63d0backed FaZe Up Next | 38c | 32.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked FaZe Up Next | 38c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed FaZe Up Next | 59c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked FaZe Up Next | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…5b64backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 62c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…2318backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 62c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsAlpha Dominion Nation won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 WinnerAlpha Dominion Nation won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.