CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163b54085721889bd6e555175cafcd3fa58ff716de1c3c14b323b47000542b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team | 46c | 1,495$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.44 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 64c | 1,149$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.62 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Leo Team | 53c | 1,070$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.13 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed CSDIILIT | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Leo Team | 39c | 512.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.36 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed CSDIILIT | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CSDIILIT | 43c | 374.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CSDIILIT | 48c | 370.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.83 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed CSDIILIT | 46c | 355.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed CSDIILIT | 9c | 315.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Leo Team | 51c | 226$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked CSDIILIT | 30c | 197.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Leo Team | 49c | 180$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT | 62c | 179.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Leo Team | 52c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed CSDIILIT | 34c | 142$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSDIILIT | 38c | 127.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Leo Team | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Leo Team | 56c | 118.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CSDIILIT | 42c | 112.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed CSDIILIT | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Leo Team | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Leo Team | 46c | 93.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Leo Team | 35c | 86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed CSDIILIT | 39c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Leo Team | 54c | 75.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked CSDIILIT | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked CSDIILIT | 55c | 59.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked CSDIILIT | 45c | 57.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed CSDIILIT | 52c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed CSDIILIT | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Leo Team | 49c | 46.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Leo Team | 59c | 39.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…496dbacked Leo Team | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked CSDIILIT | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.