Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Comesana vs Ugo Blanchet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x167790b3f9fbac82584795425bc9b7f0c18383b8491a0f7548695dfeb878aad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Comesanaof Comesana, Blanchet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Blanchet | 0c | 8,552$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Blanchet | 46c | 1,461$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.59 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Comesana | 52c | 953.5$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.68 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Comesana | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Comesana | 47c | 667.45$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.62 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Comesana | 54c | 555.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Comesana | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Blanchet | 51c | 486.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Comesana | 52c | 483.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.02 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blanchet | 48c | 444.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Blanchet | 11c | 333$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Blanchet | 46c | 325.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Blanchet | 51c | 298.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Comesana | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Blanchet | 46c | 219.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Blanchet | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blanchet | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Comesana | 48c | 182.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Blanchet | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Blanchet | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blanchet | 44c | 124.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Comesana | 56c | 112.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Comesana | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Comesana | 47c | 88.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Comesana | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Blanchet | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Blanchet | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Blanchet | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Blanchet | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Blanchet | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Blanchet | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Comesana | 55c | 61.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Blanchet | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Comesana | 53c | 35.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Comesana | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.