Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 130.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16955e0fe8787ed797e00dd491f54de86edde715407834697bde3a7a9195bec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 46,383$22,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,054.13 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 53c | 34,682$18,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,473.95 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,199$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 2,400$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 51c | 1,457$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 873$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 840$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 47c | 311.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 178.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Over | 48c | 68.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…9b52backed Over | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b7…7343backed Under | 53c | 59.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 30c | 54.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 130.5this page
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Seton Hall PiratesDePaul Blue Demons won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 128.5Under won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 129.5Under won
- DePaul Blue Demons vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 131.5Under won
- Spread: Seton Hall Pirates (-8.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.