CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16a99d5c98ecc525c50c2103d188cbae4f809c9014886ab2bfa7ad2906f47189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexaof Vexa, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed BESTIA Academy | 44c | 1,033$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.85 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vexa | 58c | 823.51$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.18 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vexa | 65c | 722.94$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.73 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vexa | 75c | 394.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA Academy | 35c | 375$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vexa | 60c | 354.33$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexa | 67c | 267$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Vexa | 72c | 207.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked BESTIA Academy | 39c | 206$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vexa | 71c | 192.1$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed BESTIA Academy | 40c | 182.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed BESTIA Academy | 23c | 123.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked BESTIA Academy | 40c | 111.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed BESTIA Academy | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA Academy | 31c | 109.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed BESTIA Academy | 29c | 106.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA Academy | 31c | 84.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA Academy | 29c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BESTIA Academy | 40c | 61.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed BESTIA Academy | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed BESTIA Academy | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed BESTIA Academy | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Vexa | 60c | 39.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vexa | 61c | 31.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vexa | 60c | 27.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Vexa | 61c | 18.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.