CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb153ae22d22271229c02f9479d8ed60a11be6a2b0f1cb174f4ab1167648a0eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIA Academyof Vexa, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vexa | 61c | 954.6$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.85 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked BESTIA Academy | 39c | 821.54$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.97 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Vexa | 40c | 463.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA Academy | 53c | 448.61$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vexa | 61c | 304.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…7091backed BESTIA Academy | 62c | 275$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vexa | 38c | 235$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vexa | 35c | 229$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 203.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 191.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA Academy | 54c | 181.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA Academy | 53c | 157.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Vexa | 46c | 144.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked BESTIA Academy | 40c | 118$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Vexa | 61c | 106.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed BESTIA Academy | 21c | 104$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BESTIA Academy | 78c | 104$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed BESTIA Academy | 35c | 102.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Vexa | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA Academy | 62c | 93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed BESTIA Academy | 80c | 81.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed BESTIA Academy | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Vexa | 65c | 72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked BESTIA Academy | 36c | 62.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BESTIA Academy | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed BESTIA Academy | 73c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4303backed BESTIA Academy | 52c | 36.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA Academy | 78c | 30.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed BESTIA Academy | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Vexa | 61c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 WinnerVexa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.