CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs FURY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f510360a5ad73077acf0be7be7f6597104a4df4dc92ef4a03764d5e0173337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Rooster, FURY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0538…85c4backed Rooster | 55c | 550$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed FURY | 46c | 371.31$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Rooster | 58c | 352$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURY | 43c | 320.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed FURY | 29c | 237.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Rooster | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed FURY | 60c | 174$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed FURY | 43c | 130.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rooster | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed FURY | 50c | 120.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed FURY | 45c | 111.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FURY | 35c | 100.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Rooster | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FURY | 45c | 61.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Rooster | 55c | 55.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rooster | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed FURY | 52c | 35.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rooster | 70c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Rooster | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FURY | 49c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed FURY | 33c | 31.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Rooster | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Rooster | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Rooster | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed FURY | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Rooster | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs FURY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs FURY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group ARooster won
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs FURY - Map 2 WinnerRooster won
- Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs FURY (+1.5)Rooster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.