CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs FURY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x659a9b0e95b4829316f550f8a5f43298684242fef2a2b5c9b3d28700efca8c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Rooster, FURY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FURY | 16c | 5,500$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.5 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked FURY | 18c | 2,290$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.11 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rooster | 78c | 1,252$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.3 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FURY | 16c | 1,206$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURY | 17c | 832.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed FURY | 15c | 812.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FURY | 18c | 693.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed FURY | 15c | 641.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FURY | 16c | 587.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FURY | 18c | 506$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FURY | 16c | 412.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed FURY | 17c | 357.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FURY | 16c | 323.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FURY | 19c | 198.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked FURY | 22c | 172.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed FURY | 23c | 143.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Rooster | 77c | 130.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FURY | 17c | 122.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…e4abbacked FURY | 14c | 85.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Rooster | 75c | 73.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FURY | 20c | 66.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…7992backed FURY | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…2c2bbacked FURY | 29c | 56.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Rooster | 71c | 45.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Rooster | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed FURY | 24c | 42.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rooster | 79c | 36.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Rooster | 70c | 28.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Rooster | 70c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…e361backed Rooster | 74c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +56%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed Rooster | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Rooster | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 252 | 52%131 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Rooster | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Rooster | 80c | 19.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Rooster | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rooster | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Rooster | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs FURY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs FURY - Map 1 WinnerRooster won
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs FURY - Map 2 WinnerRooster won
- Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs FURY (+1.5)Rooster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.