Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bakio: Diego Dedura vs Sergio Callejon Hernando
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f8e305e8d35bc02a6efc3134d192846f4171b786e47649a510072f3a1ada55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sergio Callejon Hernandoof Diego Dedura, Sergio Callejon Hernando
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Diego Dedura | 9c | 2,500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Diego Dedura | 2c | 1,650$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 37c | 1,603$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.91 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Diego Dedura | 69c | 1,145$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.19 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Diego Dedura | 46c | 792.49$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Diego Dedura | 49c | 408.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa545…ece3backed Diego Dedura | 41c | 239.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 63c | 196.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Diego Dedura | 29c | 158.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sergio Callejon Hernando | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Sergio Callejon Hernando | 33c | 104.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Diego Dedura | 23c | 102.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 34c | 98.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 55c | 87.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Diego Dedura | 17c | 73.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Diego Dedura | 21c | 70.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 65c | 59.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Diego Dedura | 36c | 53.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Diego Dedura | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 50c | 47.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Sergio Callejon Hernando | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Sergio Callejon Hernando | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.