Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x170087e6330fd02c4a5e9d98196cb1bdc7906e3c7cbf7be250a7f3a90c4c2d68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 44,578$22,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,843.16 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 49c | 9,708$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.69 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.21 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 55c | 5,866$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 5,321$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.14 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,962$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…c4d2backed Over | 49c | 3,043$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 2,175$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.75 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 54c | 675$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 46c | 675$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 444.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 52c | 329.59$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 225.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 49c | 209.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 116.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 107.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 48c | 104.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…b601backed Under | 54c | 96.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 49c | 68.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 49c | 46.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 27.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 52c | 20.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 162.5this page
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-4.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn TigersVanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 160.5Under won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 161.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.