Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Federica Sacco vs Beatrice Stagno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x170f7a26cbabbfc18fb7934bd9ad2c0697cdf378c6f94cb33432caa6e76a41f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federica Saccoof Federica Sacco, Beatrice Stagno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8ed…efb4backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 505$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 475$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Beatrice Stagno | 10c | 460.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af9…9931backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…4a58backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…2b4dbacked Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…826fbacked Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…33c4backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…fbe2backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Federica Sacco | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Beatrice Stagno | 5c | 215.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beatrice Stagno | 16c | 174.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…676abacked Beatrice Stagno | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…e26ebacked Beatrice Stagno | 8c | 144.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Beatrice Stagno | 32c | 107.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Beatrice Stagno | 27c | 45.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Federica Sacco | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.