Lol · resolved market
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x172dbca4a3e0c56cb3ff8be1faff2d3d5888a41df8caa79a532b9c6b24efc576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIA Challengersof DN SOOPers Challengers, Dplus KIA Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 1,005$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.9 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 41c | 736$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.24 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 58c | 688.61$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 40c | 657.22$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.33 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 42c | 609.55$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.37 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 41c | 572.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.78 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 47c | 503.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 492.78$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.67 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 476.53$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.83 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 337.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0584backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 60c | 234.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 7c | 196.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b299backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 73c | 170.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 46c | 166.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 15c | 111.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x140c…6ddfbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 48c | 109.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 54c | 101.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…b74fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 50c | 83.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 31c | 76.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x485b…fc40backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 69c | 57.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 27c | 55.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…2c0ebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 46c | 52.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…8828backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 75c | 46.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 30c | 45.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 36c | 45.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 52c | 41.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 57c | 38.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 53c | 35.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 77c | 31.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 62c | 25.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 52c | 23.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…2471backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 73c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 237 | 69.6%165 W · 72 L | +30.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.