Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Aspen Schuman vs Yuliya Perapekhina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174fc338741135f223f36501f6983e7cde68fa289cc35b4c61c356a261751e5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuliya Perapekhinaof Aspen Schuman, Yuliya Perapekhina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 76c | 904.68$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.28 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aspen Schuman | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aspen Schuman | 18c | 284.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 77c | 259$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Aspen Schuman | 23c | 242.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Aspen Schuman | 31c | 160.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Aspen Schuman | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 45.4%122 W · 147 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 74c | 37.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Yuliya Perapekhina | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 55 | 89.1%49 W · 6 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yuliya Perapekhina | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.