CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175c3185a3d23e689b5222146506784262eab7d194ee0077fbbd4e0e63010147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Passion UA | 37c | 1,060$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.1 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 71c | 902.63$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.08 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…1c7ebacked TheMongolz | 66c | 814.93$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Passion UA | 34c | 629.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA | 34c | 304.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 280.42$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Passion UA | 33c | 214.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Passion UA | 21c | 152.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Passion UA | 37c | 133.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Passion UA | 30c | 95.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed TheMongolz | 71c | 83.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…32b1backed TheMongolz | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…dbb4backed TheMongolz | 66c | 48.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed Passion UA | 26c | 45.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked TheMongolz | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Passion UA | 34c | 34.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…5d0cbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed TheMongolz | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked TheMongolz | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Passion UA | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA (BO3)Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.