CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe582636c94db6195cb8f1b88d0a404bf1d167db6872c58f25cd049bcfda77aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof TheMongolz, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Passion UA | 29c | 4,491$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.99 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz | 71c | 2,441$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.95 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed TheMongolz | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Passion UA | 29c | 1,152$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.08 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Passion UA | 47c | 1,062$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.19 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 841.11$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.21 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Passion UA | 29c | 812.02$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.53 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA | 27c | 796$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.73 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed TheMongolz | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Passion UA | 17c | 666.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.76 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz | 71c | 496$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.66 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked TheMongolz | 35c | 392$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 52c | 336.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed Passion UA | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Passion UA | 17c | 258.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed TheMongolz | 37c | 199.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 70c | 131.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed TheMongolz | 72c | 118.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…a320backed Passion UA | 55c | 115.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Passion UA | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f533backed TheMongolz | 72c | 80.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed TheMongolz | 69c | 64.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Passion UA | 21c | 60.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked TheMongolz | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Passion UA | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz | 69c | 55.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed TheMongolz | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Passion UA | 39c | 46.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked TheMongolz | 72c | 37.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Passion UA | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed TheMongolz | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed TheMongolz | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…1cd5backed TheMongolz | 65c | 25.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…fd44backed TheMongolz | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…9f7ebacked TheMongolz | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked TheMongolz | 71c | 14.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA (BO3)Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.