Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Harmony Tan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17601d5016a82b5d480dbab4f729c0fbaf1e88c0e597c69b45babbcdc02e73a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanne Vandewinkelof Hanne Vandewinkel, Harmony Tan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Harmony Tan | 6c | 32,744$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Harmony Tan | 14c | 23,407$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.2 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Harmony Tan | 7c | 7,492$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Harmony Tan | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Harmony Tan | 8c | 3,498$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Harmony Tan | 2c | 2,018$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Harmony Tan | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Harmony Tan | 7c | 1,500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Harmony Tan | 8c | 1,432$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Harmony Tan | 9c | 1,090$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 78c | 992$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Harmony Tan | 7c | 548.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Harmony Tan | 11c | 514.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Harmony Tan | 24c | 417.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Harmony Tan | 16c | 233.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 60c | 140.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Harmony Tan | 38c | 134.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 60c | 121.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Harmony Tan | 12c | 109.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Harmony Tan | 39c | 102.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 67c | 101.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 62c | 86.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 61c | 78.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 60c | 78.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 61c | 78.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Harmony Tan | 39c | 73.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Harmony Tan | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 78c | 49.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Harmony Tan | 33c | 35.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 72c | 35.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Harmony Tan | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…0d78backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 64c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 60c | 17.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 66c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.