CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17643079e122bb3ba2950cfac56644ee81dd8567146fc4140b89d32f741f4b2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 6,136$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.19 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 2,641$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.8 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 1,552$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.76 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,503$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.86 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 1,350$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 1,258$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.76 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 1,072$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.53 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 837.26$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.77 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 672.23$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 510.9$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 504.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 476.76$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 448.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 387.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 371.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 346.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nuclear TigeRES | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 297.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 7c | 297.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 296.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 270.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 269.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 256.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 232$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Nuclear TigeRES | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 186$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 164.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 161.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 138.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 129.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 114.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 434 | 31.3%136 W · 298 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 97.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 89.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…0214backed Nuclear TigeRES | 80c | 88.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 87.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Nuclear TigeRES | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 85.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 83.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 69.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Nuclear TigeRES | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 48.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 47.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 46.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 44.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…7137backed Nuclear TigeRES | 80c | 43.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 39.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 37.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 26.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)Nuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.