Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nivelles: Nico Hipfl vs Jannik Opitz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176dbe830641471230feb76e90783d2af86a32435709af94ab778d34a9fb677b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Opitzof Nico Hipfl, Jannik Opitz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nico Hipfl | 77c | 7,051$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.86 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Jannik Opitz | 22c | 3,846$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jannik Opitz | 29c | 906.9$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.9 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Jannik Opitz | 20c | 645.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.3 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Jannik Opitz | 23c | 275.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.45 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Jannik Opitz | 22c | 227.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nico Hipfl | 77c | 211.91$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jannik Opitz | 21c | 204.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jannik Opitz | 21c | 195.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Jannik Opitz | 23c | 173$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jannik Opitz | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Jannik Opitz | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jannik Opitz | 20c | 130$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Nico Hipfl | 75c | 123.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jannik Opitz | 25c | 105.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Jannik Opitz | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jannik Opitz | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Jannik Opitz | 23c | 87.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Jannik Opitz | 24c | 84.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Jannik Opitz | 23c | 84.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nico Hipfl | 74c | 53.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Jannik Opitz | 39c | 52.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jannik Opitz | 26c | 39.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Nico Hipfl | 74c | 26.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Jannik Opitz | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.