Euroleague · resolved market
Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Girona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b97e0d1239c79c6ad91c5a4aef2c05f020d31694b9daf81cbc8163f63ee41a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basquet Gironaof Forca Lleida CE, Basquet Girona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Forca Lleida CE | 1c | 3,747$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Basquet Girona | 72c | 1,024$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Forca Lleida CE | 61c | 482.41$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Basquet Girona | 47c | 383.16$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.61 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Forca Lleida CE | 24c | 285$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Basquet Girona | 79c | 275.3$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Forca Lleida CE | 61c | 232.56$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Basquet Girona | 38c | 158$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Forca Lleida CE | 65c | 153.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Forca Lleida CE | 11c | 146.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Forca Lleida CE | 10c | 133.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Forca Lleida CE | 20c | 112$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Basquet Girona | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Basquet Girona | 45c | 78.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Basquet Girona | 38c | 64.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…f574backed Basquet Girona | 37c | 54.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Forca Lleida CE | 39c | 51.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Basquet Girona | 38c | 33.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Forca Lleida CE | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Basquet Girona | 53c | 31.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Forca Lleida CE | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.