Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17ddb7871cbfa2d5873c3c2cdcbc750c640cb3d37cf78b6fd2c207a5eb4a64e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, Ivory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ivory | 29c | 1,934$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.25 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 71c | 1,600$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.46 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Ivory | 21c | 1,073$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ivory | 17c | 1,028$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked GLYPH | 72c | 415$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Ivory | 36c | 337.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Ivory | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ivory | 10c | 298.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed GLYPH | 71c | 278.27$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Ivory | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Ivory | 41c | 192.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Ivory | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5728…3691backed Ivory | 11c | 104.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ivory | 38c | 89.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Ivory | 43c | 76.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Ivory | 14c | 75.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked GLYPH | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked Ivory | 34c | 59.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Ivory | 37c | 36.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Ivory | 48c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…ce9bbacked GLYPH | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8065backed GLYPH | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked GLYPH | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked GLYPH | 80c | 12.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Ivory - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Ivory - Game 2 WinnerIvory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.