Other European Leagues · resolved market
Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17e43667283ab767e2a7f06fede8e132f4e3a8755e608c30dd56c436022d9430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 28c | 5,424$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.13 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 3,759$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 2,090$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 15c | 1,032$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 18c | 380.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 45c | 339.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 201.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 200.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 192.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 140.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 50c | 81.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 46c | 61.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 49c | 51.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 41c | 51.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 42.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 68c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 78c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5this page
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.