Other European Leagues · resolved market
Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21f8cd0540086a34de97d92cdd5008265e3462edb9edadb37d4b3df60178a270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,690$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 48c | 2,070$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.6 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 73c | 784.37$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.59 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 729.35$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.45 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 61c | 542.01$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Under | 67c | 453.58$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 54c | 365.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 311.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 240.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 228.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 74c | 199.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 189.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 53c | 174.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 50c | 170.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 61c | 152.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 145.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 142.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 34c | 142.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 114$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 33c | 87.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 58c | 79.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 32c | 54.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 52c | 49.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 52c | 47.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 32c | 40.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 52c | 35.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 51c | 31.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 33c | 31.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 53c | 25.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 46c | 25.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 52c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.