TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,892 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09c4…2378backed Over60c1,680$1,008 inWon+$672.4811156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over61c1,003$607 inWon+$395.6689443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under39c825.8$320 inLost-$320.0114449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c780$312 inLost-$312.483,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under40c640.18$256 inLost-$256.0776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over60c550$329 inWon+$221.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under40c499.97$200 inLost-$199.9933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Under41c499.5$204 inLost-$204.2710019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xffaf…64c6backed Under42c130$55 inLost-$54.66841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under40c119.91$48 inLost-$48.1926537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Under42c100$42 inLost-$424748.9%23 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+108.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under40c60$24 inLost-$242,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over60c41.66$25 inWon+$16.669535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba7b…91f5backed Over61c40.98$25 inWon+$15.9826144.8%117 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.0923858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.0943460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Under40c34.49$14 inLost-$13.82060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Over57c32$18 inWon+$13.762347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over60c26.83$16 inWon+$10.7316052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb129…c058backed Over60c23.33$14 inWon+$9.333969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf076…4079backed Over60c22.83$14 inWon+$9.136100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Over60c22.83$14 inWon+$9.132653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.