TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 3.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,818 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over42c946.72$400 inWon+$546.7212538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under58c928.88$539 inLost-$538.7533555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over77c448.09$346 inWon+$102.5714856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Under63c442.21$281 inLost-$280.5410019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over71c368.72$261 inWon+$107.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under57c300.84$171 inLost-$171.4814449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c248.61$98 inWon+$151.031,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c214.89$86 inWon+$129.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under32c153$49 inLost-$48.961,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c153$86 inLost-$85.683,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under67c149.37$100 inLost-$10010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over42c140$59 inWon+$81.21,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Over35c103$36 inWon+$66.952347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under33c97.64$32 inLost-$32.122,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over42c92.85$39 inWon+$53.8518340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over42c91.12$38 inWon+$52.859055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over44c85$37 inWon+$47.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under25c83.13$21 inLost-$20.722,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under59c78.68$47 inLost-$46.6826537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over35c56$20 inWon+$36.477845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over42c50$21 inWon+$2921840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Over42c47.38$20 inWon+$27.4822824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under38c28.76$11 inLost-$10.8419862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over69c15.62$11 inWon+$4.8458642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.