TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will magic Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,376 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x469e…6f20backed Yes60c593.2$353 inLost-$353.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No37c561.99$208 inWon+$353.8319652%102 W · 94 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes45c504.14$227 inLost-$227.4775450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No52c126$65 inWon+$60.938450%42 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed No41c101$41 inWon+$59.5920047.5%95 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Yes55c86$47 inLost-$47.318846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…5af6backed Yes64c79.99$51 inLost-$51.39366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf4a…81a9backed Yes38c66$25 inLost-$25.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed No40c55$22 inWon+$334100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+285.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a56…be30backed Yes44c46$20 inLost-$20.0720651.9%107 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Yes56c39$22 inLost-$21.844841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc15…cca6backed No41c32$13 inWon+$19.01875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+123.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked Yes56c25$14 inLost-$13.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes64c20$13 inLost-$12.71457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked Yes65c19.8$13 inLost-$12.87988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes60c19$11 inLost-$11.42850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.