Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Chicago State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1809030d41a6f704759ddd019568211a5aa260c6d92fb2a7c2b9fd8845ec43e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago State Cougarsof Stonehill Skyhawks, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 57c | 957$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.44 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 717.05$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 418.13$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 277.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 45c | 98.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 23c | 96.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 94.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…8688backed Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 45c | 89.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…6d59backed Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 21.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Chicago State Cougars | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 54c | 18.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 18.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Chicago State Cougarsthis page
- Spread: Chicago State Cougars (-1.5)Chicago State Cougars won
- Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-1.5)Chicago State Cougars won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Chicago State Cougars: O/U 130.5Under won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Chicago State Cougars: O/U 132.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.