CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x182a65568afa42c3ae62f1431c27a4c2dbe2d0e79c817fa4b7cba3cfc3c95ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof ENCE, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed fnatic | 54c | 4,127$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.66 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed ENCE | 38c | 1,596$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.62 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked ENCE | 54c | 1,479$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.72 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed fnatic | 40c | 1,436$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.48 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed fnatic | 6c | 1,200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed fnatic | 45c | 827.41$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.83 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed fnatic | 40c | 787.5$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed fnatic | 56c | 489.68$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed fnatic | 41c | 487.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed ENCE | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed ENCE | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed fnatic | 60c | 192.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked fnatic | 55c | 163.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed fnatic | 49c | 143.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked ENCE | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed ENCE | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…456fbacked ENCE | 37c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 125 | 68.8%86 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…fa58backed ENCE | 39c | 69.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ENCE | 54c | 67.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed fnatic | 59c | 67.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked ENCE | 40c | 67.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…2612backed ENCE | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed fnatic | 65c | 64.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked fnatic | 70c | 63.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed fnatic | 59c | 57.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked fnatic | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked ENCE | 52c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.