Lol · resolved market
LoL: Capybara Esports vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188578894e1ee1d0cf394f346bb40ad0d04f5697dc2bd843f420dbf5e6562229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikiof Capybara Esports, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Bubliki | 58c | 1,265$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Capybara Esports | 41c | 754.81$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.24 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Capybara Esports | 16c | 609.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Capybara Esports | 21c | 371.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Capybara Esports | 16c | 174.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Capybara Esports | 44c | 137.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…a4acbacked Bubliki | 73c | 130.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…e278backed Bubliki | 55c | 105.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bubliki | 70c | 82.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bubliki | 60c | 66.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Capybara Esports | 41c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed Bubliki | 64c | 50.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bubliki | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Capybara Esports | 45c | 35.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bubliki | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…2dc8backed Capybara Esports | 30c | 34.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…5937backed Bubliki | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bubliki | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bubliki | 62c | 29.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…a8d1backed Bubliki | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Capybara Esports | 44c | 27.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Capybara Esports vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Capybara Esports vs Bubliki (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageBubliki won
- LoL: Capybara Esports vs Bubliki - Game 1 WinnerCapybara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.