Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18afc98552f0d8379c079b397b46e04641126bab89e3ff400a90ad372c145cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburn Tigersof Auburn Tigers, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,089 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 2,478$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.64 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Auburn Tigers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 944.09$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.64 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers | 48c | 775.93$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Auburn Tigers | 48c | 545$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 378.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Auburn Tigers | 47c | 195.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 161.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Auburn Tigers | 48c | 139.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 127.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 113.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Auburn Tigers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Auburn Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Auburn Tigers | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Auburn Tigers | 48c | 67.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Auburn Tigers | 45c | 50.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Auburn Tigers | 50c | 48.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…1b92backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 42.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 53c | 41.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Auburn Tigers | 46c | 37.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Auburn Tigers | 50c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Auburn Tigers | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-7.5)this page
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn TigersAuburn Tigers won
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5Under won
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-8.5)Auburn Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.