TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,262 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…aa71backed Under65c1,577$1,025 inLost-$1,025.1810463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over35c1,024$358 inWon+$665.62,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over35c572$200 inWon+$371.821840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Over37c136$50 inWon+$85.681442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c119.75$73 inLost-$72.963,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under63c114$72 inLost-$71.821,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over47c98.45$47 inWon+$51.792330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under53c60$32 inLost-$31.850154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under63c40.99$26 inLost-$25.821,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c38.45$20 inLost-$19.9938453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under65c36$23 inLost-$23.223754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Over34c29.42$10 inWon+$19.422825%7 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Over56c25$14 inWon+$112441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.