Europa Conference League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded192653d711fb3a2e610f9037b7c8357378c6e5bbf42bd6da1b621980077d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 58c | 14,082$8,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.76 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 9,790$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.3 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 6,853$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 57c | 1,918$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.43 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 1,588$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.49 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.24 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 20c | 1,089$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 78c | 977$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.46 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 5c | 866$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 620.61$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.41 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 533.31$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 58c | 505$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 42c | 446$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.68 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 421.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 46c | 408$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 360.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 54c | 345.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 303.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 201.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 175.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 58c | 166.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 58c | 166.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 133.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 47c | 130.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 119.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 119.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 106.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 42c | 106$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed Under | 46c | 103.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 58c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 45c | 74.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 72.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 40c | 68.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 25c | 48.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 42c | 39.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 67c | 37.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 54c | 35.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 58c | 33.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Over | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 29.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…fe16backed Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 24.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Over | 58c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…46f9backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Ararat-Armenia FA (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)Ararat-Armenia FA won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.