Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Paolini vs Eala
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d53d363a80b1a64ae701b7593e9f520b995c95ba675acc4eba4364a5b87ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paoliniof Paolini, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eala | 21c | 1,758$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Paolini | 43c | 898$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.86 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eala | 57c | 603.64$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.07 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Eala | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…8f9ebacked Eala | 37c | 432.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Eala | 61c | 363.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Eala | 47c | 272.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eala | 57c | 270.2$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Paolini | 76c | 208.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Paolini | 39c | 198.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…fa76backed Eala | 20c | 190.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…f88fbacked Eala | 28c | 184.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Paolini | 72c | 169.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eala | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Paolini | 52c | 136.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Eala | 24c | 127.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Paolini | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Eala | 24c | 79.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63b…222cbacked Eala | 21c | 71.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Paolini | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Paolini | 78c | 60.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Eala | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Eala | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Eala | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Paolini | 69c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Paolini vs Ealathis page
- Jasmine Paolini vs. Alexandra Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Paolini vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Paolini vs EalaEala won
- Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Paolini (+1.5)Paolini won
- Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra EalaJasmine Paolini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.