Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Mary Stoiana vs Leolia Jeanjean
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d787f58f99c9d080ae7b97a9b0b193fff783f2dceabfea32d2519f06d35f7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leolia Jeanjeanof Mary Stoiana, Leolia Jeanjean
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Mary Stoiana | 50c | 25,847$13,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,030.01 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Leolia Jeanjean | 50c | 8,293$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.85 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Leolia Jeanjean | 52c | 7,752$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.41 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Leolia Jeanjean | 53c | 6,555$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Leolia Jeanjean | 51c | 6,442$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.9 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mary Stoiana | 51c | 6,000$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.48 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leolia Jeanjean | 47c | 3,744$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.21 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…c879backed Mary Stoiana | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09e…d5efbacked Leolia Jeanjean | 45c | 2,490$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mary Stoiana | 43c | 2,430$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.9 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Leolia Jeanjean | 32c | 925$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.39 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leolia Jeanjean | 62c | 659.65$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.79 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Leolia Jeanjean | 60c | 641.87$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Leolia Jeanjean | 46c | 452.12$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Mary Stoiana | 57c | 349.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mary Stoiana | 36c | 309$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mary Stoiana | 34c | 256.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mary Stoiana | 46c | 207.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Leolia Jeanjean | 40c | 200.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mary Stoiana | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Leolia Jeanjean | 47c | 179$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Mary Stoiana | 57c | 178.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Mary Stoiana | 41c | 176.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Leolia Jeanjean | 47c | 170.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Leolia Jeanjean | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Leolia Jeanjean | 41c | 168$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Mary Stoiana | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Leolia Jeanjean | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mary Stoiana | 33c | 59.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mary Stoiana | 53c | 59.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mary Stoiana | 32c | 53.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Mary Stoiana | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Leolia Jeanjean | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mary Stoiana | 53c | 51.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Mary Stoiana | 67c | 45.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Leolia Jeanjean | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mary Stoiana | 48c | 43.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Mary Stoiana | 41c | 43.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Mary Stoiana | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…6cd6backed Leolia Jeanjean | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Mary Stoiana | 36c | 29.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Mary Stoiana | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…8e63backed Leolia Jeanjean | 45c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.